Automation Without a Falsifier Is Just Expensive Hope
Every result can be explained as progress. The team keeps adding scope because nobody wrote down what would count as a miss before the result arrived.
The recognizable symptom
The project has a roadmap, a growing prompt library, and a confident narrative. It does not have a frozen primary metric, a comparison, or a sentence that says when to stop.
The mechanism underneath
When the success condition stays vague, every observation can be recruited to defend the original position. This is how a small experiment becomes an unbounded implementation program.
What we built to contain it
We publish conviction calls before outcomes, log misses with the same weight as hits, and keep exploratory robustness separate from the frozen primary estimate. A useful audit should be able to conclude stop.
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